Will Nashville have another long, hot summer? NOAA says probably so

NOAA thinks that the Volunteer State has a 40%-50% probability of leaning above normal temperatures.
Published: Apr. 25, 2024 at 12:57 PM CDT
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NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WSMV) - Middle Tennessee may be in for another hotter than normal summer again this year, according to new research and forecast data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released its seasonal temperature outlook this week, which shows the probability of regions seeing above-normal, near-normal, and below-normal temperatures and precipitation. That includes the period of meteorological summer from June 1 to Aug. 31.

Middle Tennessee may be in for another hotter than normal summer again this year.
Middle Tennessee may be in for another hotter than normal summer again this year.(NOAA)

NOAA forecasters stated that an emerging La Niña will start to influence weather patterns across North America this summer. They predict that the establishment of ridges of high pressures across the western U.S. and southeast Canada will likely result in significant heat waves, which could challenge record temperatures in the regions.

This means that toasty temperatures could be in store for most all of the lower 48 states. The only states that could see normal temperatures are North Dakota and South Dakota.

As far as Tennessee is concerned, NOAA thinks that the Volunteer State has a 40%-50% probability of leaning above normal temperatures.

According to NOAA, the warmest summers on record in the U.S. occurred in 2021 and 1936, when the average temperatures were 2.60 °F above typical values.